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Silver, Nate, 1978-
The signal and the noise : why so many predictions fail-- but some don't / Nate Silver
New York : Penguin Press, 2012
book jacket
Location Call Number Status
 Browsing/1st Flr  CB158 .S54 2012    DUE 09-15-14
Subject(s) Forecasting
Forecasting -- Methodology
Forecasting -- History
Bayesian statistical decision theory
Knowledge, Theory of
Physical Description 534 p. : ill. ; 25 cm
Note Includes bibliographical references (p. 459-514) and index
Contents A Catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit? -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em ... -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you
Summary Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction
NOTE 507983

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